An idiot learns Bayesian analysis: Part 2
A week ago, I wrote a bit about my personal journey to come to grips with Bayesian inference. I referred to the epiphany that when we're talking about Bayesian analysis, what we're talking about- in a...
View ArticleAnother skewed normal distribution
At the CLRS last year, Glenn Meyers talked about something very near to my heart: a skewed normal distribution. In loss reserving (and I'm sure, many other contexts) standard linear regression is less...
View ArticleTriangle Open Data Day 2014
A rare live blog post today. I'm writing this from Triangle Open Data Day 2014. This will basically be a page of links that I'll try to get around to later. GIS resources: QGIS – an open source GIS...
View ArticleWatching Africa from a plane
I wrote this 8 or 9 days ago, while on a plane and am just now getting around to posting it. It's either 7:12 PM Friday or 2:12 AM Saturday. I'm somewhere over the Mediterranean, having just passed...
View ArticleRecursive assignment
Here’s yet another example where I just need to read the help files. Before I go on, I should add my own notion as to why that’s not always easy to do. On loads of message boards, you’ll see people...
View ArticleStuff I’ve gotten horribly wrong
I'm the first (I hope) to admit when I've gotten something wrong. I like to think I'm humble enough to realize that there are limits to my knowledge. Actually, humility doesn't enter into it. Every day...
View ArticleAn Idiot Learns Bayesian Analysis: Part 3
A week or so ago, the grand Magus over at lamages.blogspot.com/ published a great, quick thought exercise taken from Daniel Kahneman’s book Thinking, Fast and Slow. Here are the particulars of the...
View ArticleVisualizing the History of Epidemics
I really like National Geographic. Their magazine is great, their television documentaries are done well and they helped give me a lifelong love of maps. They generate very good information and help...
View ArticleMakefiles and RMarkdown
Quite some time ago (October 2013, according to Amazon), I bought a copy of “Reproducible Research with R and RStudio” by Christopher Gandrud. And it was awesome. Since then, I’ve been using knitr and...
View Article